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Frequently Asked Questions

Learn about our methodology and how to use Stats Guy Fantasy
Quick Summary

Stats Guy Fantasy transforms millions of real fantasy football trades into actionable insights. By analyzing actual market behavior rather than relying on projections, we provide the most accurate representation of player values available. Our commitment to transparency, daily updates, and format-specific calculations ensures you have the best data to make informed decisions.

About Our Platform
2 questions

Stats Guy Fantasy is a fantasy football trade analysis platform that provides real-time player valuations and trade recommendations based on actual market data from hundreds of thousands of active fantasy leagues. Our mission is to help fantasy managers make smarter, data-driven decisions by showing what players are truly worth in the current market.

Unlike platforms that rely on expert opinions or projections, Stats Guy Fantasy uses real trade data from actual fantasy leagues. We analyze millions of completed trades to determine true market values, ensuring our rankings reflect what fantasy managers are actually willing to trade, not what experts think they should trade.

Our Methodology
5 questions

Our values come from a sophisticated market-based approach:
  1. Data Collection: We track hundreds of thousands of active fantasy leagues, collecting thousands of new trades daily
  2. Trade Analysis: Each trade is normalized and weighted based on recency
  3. Mathematical Model: We apply advanced statistical modeling techniques to determine relative player values.
  4. Quality Control: We automatically filter out outlier trades to prevent anomalous deals from skewing values
  5. Daily Updates: Values are updated every day to reflect the latest market movements

  • Volume: With hundreds of thousands of leagues and millions of trades analyzed, our sample size ensures statistical significance
  • Real Market Data: Values are based on actual trades, not projections or opinions
  • Outlier Protection: Multiple filtering layers remove suspicious trades and ensure data quality
  • Format-Specific: We calculate separate values for each scoring format, ensuring accuracy

Fantasy football isn't one-size-fits-all. A quarterback in a Superflex league (where you can start 2 QBs) is worth significantly more than in a standard league. We calculate separate values for:
  • Superflex Dynasty: Long-term values with 2-QB capability
  • Non-Superflex Dynasty: Traditional dynasty with standard QB scoring
  • Superflex Redraft: Current season only with 2-QB capability
  • Non-Superflex Redraft: Standard single-season leagues

Our draft pick valuation uses a data-driven approach based on historical trade analysis:
  1. Baseline Analysis: We analyzed aggregate draft picks (before their draft position is known) and found they trade most similarly to late round picks in the market
  2. Historical Pick Study: We examined values for picks from previous years that solidified as early, mid, or late after the season concluded
  3. Value Extrapolation: Using the percentage value differences observed in these historical picks, we extrapolate early, mid, and late values from our base value generation
This methodology ensures our pick values reflect real market behavior for high confidence pick positions. However, users should remember that future-year picks remain inherently uncertain, and those values should be used as directional rather than definitive when assessing trades.

After generating values, we apply a subtle steepening adjustment to our value curve to correct for selection bias in trade data. Here's why:
  • Market Inefficiency: Leagues that properly value top-tier players typically aren't the ones trading them away
  • Data Skew: The trades we observe with elite assets tend to undervalue them because savvy leagues hold onto their studs
By steepening the value curve, we compensate for this bias and better reflect what elite players should be worth in an efficient market.
Using the Platform
3 questions

Player values are recalculated daily using trades from the previous 24 hours. Player metadata (team, position, injury status) is updated daily.

Players need a minimum number of trades to generate reliable values. New players, rookies, or less commonly traded players may not have values immediately available.

Our values reflect completed trades, which naturally lag 24-48 hours behind breaking news. When major news breaks (injuries, trades, suspensions), it takes time for fantasy managers to react and complete trades that reflect the new information.

Trade Calculator
4 questions

The trade calculator compares the total value of assets on each side of a proposed trade:
  1. Sum up values for Team A's offered players/picks
  2. Sum up values for Team B's offered players/picks
  3. Calculate the percentage difference
  4. Trades within 10% difference are considered "fair"

A "fair" trade is one where both sides are within 10% of equal value. This doesn't mean you should always accept fair trades - team needs, roster construction, and personal valuations all matter. The calculator provides an objective baseline for negotiations.

Not necessarily! Sometimes "losing" value makes sense if:
  • You're addressing a critical roster need
  • You're consolidating talent for a playoff push
  • You're rebuilding and prioritizing youth/picks
  • You believe our values don't reflect a player's true potential
The calculator is a tool to inform decisions, not make them for you.

Waiver adjustments are inherently baked into the trades we use for our value generation. Since our values are derived from real completed trades in active leagues, the market has already factored in roster spots, waiver wire implications, and the practical value of consolidating or dispersing talent. Adding an artificial waiver adjustment on top of market-derived values would actually double-count this effect.

Getting Help
3 questions

Player values can fluctuate based on recent trades. If you believe there's an error:
  1. Check the last update time (displayed on the platform)
  2. Remember values lag 24-48 hours behind breaking news
  3. Verify the scoring format selected matches your league

We welcome feedback! Feel free to reach out at support@leaguebeat.com with suggestions for new features or improvements to existing functionality.

Absolutely! Many leagues use our values as an objective baseline for trade reviews or dispute resolution. Feel free to reference our platform in your league rules.