Stats Guy Fantasy Logo
Stats Guy Fantasy
API
RankingsTrade CalculatorLeague HubTrade DBRookiesFAQ
OverviewPricingDocs
Soon

Frequently Asked Questions

Learn about our methodology and how to use Stats Guy Fantasy

Quick answers below. For the reasoning behind the numbers, read our methodology articles.

About Our Platform

Stats Guy Fantasy is a fantasy football trade analysis platform that provides real-time player valuations and trade recommendations based on actual market data from hundreds of thousands of active fantasy leagues. Our mission is to help fantasy managers make smarter, data-driven decisions by showing what players are truly worth in the current market.

Unlike platforms that rely on expert opinions or projections, Stats Guy Fantasy uses real trade data from actual fantasy leagues. We analyze millions of completed trades to determine true market values, ensuring our rankings reflect what fantasy managers are actually willing to trade, not what experts think they should trade.

Our Methodology

Every completed trade is treated as an equation (both sides were worth roughly the same to the managers who made it), and solving millions of these equations at once recovers each player's market value:
  1. Data Collection: We track hundreds of thousands of active fantasy leagues, collecting thousands of new trades daily
  2. Trade Analysis: Each trade is normalized and weighted, with recent trades counting the most
  3. Mathematical Model: We solve for the set of values that best explains every observed trade simultaneously
  4. Quality Control: Multiple filtering layers remove outlier trades, suspicious leagues, and spam before they can skew values
  5. Daily Updates: Values are recalculated every day to reflect the latest market movements
For the full story, read How We Turn Real Trades Into Player Values.

  • Volume: With hundreds of thousands of leagues and millions of trades analyzed, our sample size ensures statistical significance
  • Real Market Data: Values are based on actual trades, not projections or opinions
  • Outlier Protection: Multiple filtering layers remove suspicious trades and ensure data quality; see Keeping Bad Trades Out of Your Values
  • Format-Specific: We calculate separate values for each scoring format, ensuring accuracy

Fantasy football isn't one-size-fits-all. A quarterback in a Superflex league (where you can start 2 QBs) is worth significantly more than in a standard league. We calculate separate values for:
  • Superflex Dynasty: Long-term values with 2-QB capability
  • Non-Superflex Dynasty: Traditional dynasty with standard QB scoring
  • Superflex Redraft: Current season only with 2-QB capability
  • Non-Superflex Redraft: Standard single-season leagues
Redraft markets effectively shut down in the offseason, so redraft values are refreshed from draft season (August) through the end of the season. In the offseason, redraft values reflect the last active market. Dynasty trades happen year-round, so dynasty values are always current.

Our draft pick valuation is driven by the market, at two levels:
  1. Known slots: Once draft order is set, each pick (the 1.02, the 2.07) is priced from its own trades, like any player
  2. Future picks: Picks whose slot isn't known yet are priced from clean one-for-one trades, then the early/mid/late variants come from the measured shape of the current class's slot market
  3. Consistency: The three variants are built so that, weighted by where traded picks actually end up landing, they average back to the base pick's value. The base is the expected value, and the variants are that same bet with more information
Future-year picks remain inherently uncertain, so treat those values as directional rather than definitive. For the full story, including why future 1sts price near a mid 1st even though nearly half land late, read How We Value Draft Picks.

It's a deliberate choice, and it comes from how elite players actually trade. Most managers who own a stud turn down offer after offer, and those declined offers never show up in trade data. The one-for-one trades that do happen only tell you where those particular deals cleared, not the higher price the rest of the market is holding at. Meanwhile, consolidation trades (several pieces for one stud) show managers consistently paying a premium to land elite players. We shape our curve to reflect the whole market, including the managers who hold, rather than only the subset of trades that happened to clear.
The full reasoning, including the trade-offs, is in Packages, 1-for-1s, and the Value Curve.

When you set a TE-premium context (or connect a league with TEP scoring), tight end values are adjusted by multipliers we measured from real trades. TEs consistently clear higher in TE-premium leagues than in standard leagues, and higher still in "big TEP" leagues. Because our published values already blend trades from standard and TEP leagues, the standard setting adjusts TEs slightly down while TEP settings adjust them up, un-blending the market rather than applying a guess. Details in TE Premium: Measured, Not Guessed.

Using the Platform

Player values are recalculated every day against our full trade history, with recent trades weighted most heavily, so each day's new trades move values without any single day swinging them sharply. Player metadata (team, position, injury status) is also updated daily. Redraft values are only recalculated during draft season and the regular season, since redraft trading effectively stops in the offseason.

Players need recent trade activity across enough different leagues to generate a reliable value. Counting distinct leagues rather than raw trades keeps any single league from setting a player's price. New players, rookies, or rarely traded players may not have values immediately available.

Our values reflect completed trades, which naturally lag 24-48 hours behind breaking news. When major news breaks (injuries, trades, suspensions), it takes time for fantasy managers to react and complete trades that reflect the new information.

Trade Calculator

The trade calculator compares the total value of assets on each side of a proposed trade:
  1. Sum up values for Team A's offered players/picks
  2. Sum up values for Team B's offered players/picks
  3. Calculate the percentage difference
  4. Trades within 10% difference are considered "fair"

A "fair" trade is one where both sides are within 10% of equal value. This doesn't mean you should always accept fair trades - team needs, roster construction, and personal valuations all matter. The calculator provides an objective baseline for negotiations.

Not necessarily! Sometimes "losing" value makes sense if:
  • You're addressing a critical roster need
  • You're consolidating talent for a playoff push
  • You're rebuilding and prioritizing youth/picks
  • You believe our values don't reflect a player's true potential
The calculator is a tool to inform decisions, not make them for you.

Waiver adjustments are inherently baked into the trades we use for our value generation. Since our values are derived from real completed trades in active leagues, the market has already factored in roster spots, waiver wire implications, and the practical value of consolidating or dispersing talent. Adding an artificial waiver adjustment on top of market-derived values would actually double-count this effect.

Getting Help

Player values can fluctuate based on recent trades. If you believe there's an error:
  1. Check the last update time (displayed on the platform)
  2. Remember values lag 24-48 hours behind breaking news
  3. Verify the scoring format selected matches your league

We welcome feedback! Feel free to reach out at support@leaguebeat.com with suggestions for new features or improvements to existing functionality.

Absolutely! Many leagues use our values as an objective baseline for trade reviews or dispute resolution. Feel free to reference our platform in your league rules.